Music Commentary--Creative Writing--Cultural Hilarity





"What if there are no cries of anguish to be heard? Who is prepared to take arms against a sea of amusements? To whom do we complain, and when, and in what tone of voice, when serious discourse dissolves into giggles?"--Neil Postman






Friday, February 11, 2011

53rd Annual Grammy Award Predictions

Discussing the 53rd annual Grammy Awards is, to some extent, an exercise in futility. Everybody knows that the National Academy of Recording Arts & Sciences rewards commercial success over artistic achievement and time and time again fails to recognize the diversity of music produced in a given year. Nevertheless, occasionally the Grammy nominations and awards can shed some light on the state of the current music industry, for better or worse. This year, Eminem is predicted by most to be the big winner in virtually every major category. While the Detroit rapper has previously won awards in the rap categories, he has never received the Album of the Year prize. The Academy has a history of recognizing artists who were once relevant but are now past their prime. Relapse is a truly mediocre record, but is likely to win simply because academy members may wish to award Eminem’s commercial success in the industry.

The other major piece of news this year is the prominence of indie rock back The Arcade Fire, nominated in not only the alternative categories, but also for the coveted Album of the Year. While their chances of winning the big award are slim, it is interesting to note the extent to which the line between indie and mainstream is being continually blurred.

For anyone who can stomach it, the awards ceremony airs on CBS Sunday, February 13. Performers will include Lady Gaga, B.o.B., Cee Lo Green, Mick Jagger, Miranda Lambert, Bruno Mars, Mumford & Sons, Janelle Monae, Katy Perry, and a bunch of other intolerably dull people. Below are my predictions on who will win—and who should win—in some of the least boring categories:



Record of the Year:

“Nothin’ on You,” B.o.B. Featuring Bruno Mars

“Love the Way You Lie,” Eminem Featuring Rihanna

“Forget You,” Cee Lo Green

“Empire State of Mind,” Jay-Z & Alicia Keys

“Need You Now,” Lady Antebellum

WILL WIN: “Love the Way You Lie”

SHOULD WIN: “Forget You”



Album of the Year:

The Suburbs, Arcade Fire

Recovery, Eminem

Need You Now, Lady Antebellum

The Fame Monster, Lady Gaga

Teenage Dream, Katy Perry

WILL WIN: Recovery

SHOULD WIN: The Suburbs



Song of the Year:

“Beg Borrow or Steal,” Ray LaMontagne And the Pariah Dogs

“Forget You,” Cee Lo Green

“The House That Built Me,” Miranda Lambert

“Love the Way You Lie,” Eminem Featuring Rhianna

“Need You Now,” Lady Antebellum

WILL WIN: “Love the Way You Lie”

SHOULD WIN: “Need You Now”



Best New Artist:

Justin Bieber

Drake

Florence & the Machine

Mumford & Sons

Esperanza Spalding

WILL WIN: Drake

SHOULD WIN: Esperanza Spalding



Best Female Pop Performance:

“King of Anything,” Sara Bareilles

“Halo (Live),” Beyonce

“Chasing Pirates,” Norah Jones

“Bad Romance,” Lady Gaga

“Teenage Dream,” Katy Pary

WILL WIN: “Teenage Dream,” Katy Pary

SHOULD WIN: “Halo (Live),” Beyonce



Best Male Pop Performance:

“Haven’t Met You Yet,” Michael Buble

“This is It,” Michael Jackson

“Whataya Want From Me,” Adam Lambert

“Just the Way You Are,” Bruno Mars

“Half of my Heart,” John Mayer

WILL WIN: “This is It,” Michael Jackson

SHOULD WIN: “Whataya Want From Me,” Adam Lambert



Best Pop Vocal Album:

My World 2.0, Justin Bieber

I Dreamed a Dream, Susan Boyle

The Fame Monster, Lady Gaga

Battle Studies, John Mayer

Teenage Dream, Katy Perry

WILL WIN: My World 2.0

SHOULD WIN: The Fame Monster



Best Dance Recording:

“Rocket,” Goldfrapp

“In For the Kill,” La Roux

“Dance in the Dark,” Lady Gaga

“Only Girl (In the World),” Rhianna

“Dancing on my Own,” Robyn

WILL WIN: “Only Girl (In the World)”

SHOULD WIN: “Dancing on my Own”



Best Solo Rock Vocal Performance:

“Run Back to Your Side,” Eric Clapton

“Crossroads,” John Mayer

“Helter Skelter,” Paul McCartney

“Silver Rider,” Robert Plant

“Angry World,” Neil Young

WILL WIN: “Silver Rider”

SHOULD WIN: “Angry World”



Best Rock Performance by A Duo Or Group With Vocals

“Ready to Start,” The Arcade Fire

“I Put a Spell On You,” Jeff Beck & Joss Stone

“Tighten Up,” The Black Keys

“Radioactive,” Kings of Leon

“Resistance,” Muse

WILL WIN: “Resistance”

SHOULD WIN: “Ready to Start”



Best Rock Song:

“Angry World,” Neil Young

“Little Lion Man,” Mumford & Sons

“Radioactive,” Kings of Leon

“Resistance,” Muse

“Tighten Up,” The Black Keys

WILL WIN: “Resistance”

SHOULD WIN: “Tighten Up”



Best Rock Album:

Emotion & Commotion, Jeff Beck

The Resistance, Muse

Backspacer, Pearl Jam

Mojo, Tom Petty & the Heartbreakers

Le Noise, Neil Young

WILL WIN: The Resistance

SHOULD WIN: Le Noise



Best Alternative Music Album:

The Suburbs, The Arcade Fire

Infinite Arms, Band of Horses

Brothers, The Black Keys

Broken Bells, Broken Bells

Contra, Vampire Weekend

WILL WIN: The Suburbs

SHOULD WIN: The Suburbs



Best Urban/Alternative Performance:

“Little One,” Bilal

“Forget You,” Cee Lo Green

“Orion,” Carolyn Malachi

“Tightrope,” Janelle Monae & Big Boi

“Still,” Eric Roberson

WILL WIN: “Forget You”

SHOULD WIN: “Tightrope”



Best Contemporary R&B Album:

Graffiti, Chris Brown

Untitled, R. Kelly

Transition, Ryan Leslie

The Archandroid, Janelle Monae

Raymond V Raymond, Usher

WILL WIN: Raymond V Raymond

SHOULD WIN: The Archandroid



Best Rap Solo Performance:

“Over,” Drake

“Not Afraid,” Eminem

“How Low,” Ludacris

“I’m Back,” T.I.

“Power,” Kanye West

WILL WIN: “Not Afraid”

SHOULD WIN: “Power”



Best Rap/Sung Collaboration:

“Nothin’ On You,” B.o.B. & Bruno Mars

“Deuces,” Chris Brown, Tyga & Kevin McCall

“Love the Way You Lie,” Eminem & Alicia Keys

“Wake Up! Everybody,” John Legend, The Roots, Melanie Fiona & Common

“Empire State of Mind,” Jay-Z & Alicia Keys

WILL WIN: “Love the Way You Lie”

SHOULD WIN: “Empire State of Mind”



Best Rap Song:

“Empire State of Mind,” Jay-Z & Alicia Keys

“Love the Way You Lie,” Eminem & Rhianna

“Not Afraid,” Eminem

“Nothin’ On You,” B.o.B. & Bruno Mars

“On to the Next One,” Jay-Z & Swizz Beatz

WILL WIN: “Love the Way You Lie”

SHOULD WIN: “Empire State of Mind”



Best Rap Album:

The Adventures of Bobby Ray, B.o.B.

Thank Me Later, Drake

Recovery, Eminem

The Blueprint 3, Jay-Z

How I Got Over, The Roots

WILL WIN: Recovery

SHOULD WIN: How I Got Over



Best Country Performance By a Duo or a Group With Vocals:

“Free,” Zac Brown Band

“Elizabeth,” Dailey & Vincent

“Need You Now,” Lady Antebellum

“Little White Church,” Little Big Town

“Where Rainbows Never Die,” The SteelDrivers

WILL WIN: “Need You Now”

SHOULD WIN: “Elizabeth”



Best Country Instrumental Performance:

“Tattoo of a Smudge,” Cherryholmes

“Magic #9,” The Infamous Stringdusters

“New Chance Blues,” Punch Brothers

“Willow Creek,” Darrell Scott

“Hummingbyrd,” Marty Stuart

WILL WIN: “Hummingbyrd”

SHOULD WIN: “Magic #9”



Best Country Song:

“The Breath You Take,” George Strait

“Free,” Zac Brown Band

“The House That Built Me,” Miranda Lambert

“I’d Love to Be Your Last,” Gretchen Wilson

“If I Die Young,” The Band Perry

“Need You Now,” Lady Antebellum

WILL WIN: “Need You Now”

SHOULD WIN: “Need You Now”



Best Country Album:

Up on the Ridge, Dierks Bentley

You Get What You Give, Zac Brown Band

The Guitar Song, Jamey Johnson

Need You Now, Lady Antebellum

Revolution, Miranda Lambert

WILL WIN: Need You Now

SHOULD WIN: Up on the Ridge



Best Improvised Jazz Solo:

“Solar,” Alan Broadbent

“A Change is Gonna Come,” Herbie Hancock

“Body and Soul,” Keith Jarrett

“Lonely Woman,” Hank Jones

“Van Gogh,” Wynton Marsalis

WILL WIN: Wynton Marsalis

SHOULD WIN: Keith Jarrett



Best Jazz Instrumental Album:

Positootly!, John Beasley

The New Song and Dance, The Clayton Brothers

Historicity, Vijay Iyer Trio

Moody 4B, James Moody

Providencia, Danilo Perez

WILL WIN: Moody 4B

SHOULD WIN: Moody 4B



Best Americana Album:

The List, Rosanne Cash

Tin Can Rust, Los Lobos

Country Music, Willie Nelson

Band of Joy, Robert Plant

You are Not Alone, Mavis Staples

WILL WIN: Band of Joy

SHOULD WIN: You are Not Alone



Best Bluegrass Album:

Circles Around Me, Sam Bush

Mountain Soul II, Patty Loveless

Family Circle, The Del McCoury Band

Legacy, Peter Rowan Bluegrass Band

Reckless, The SteelDrivers

WILL WIN: Family Circle

SHOULD WIN: Reckless

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